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Saudi Crown Prince Sultan bin Abdul-Aziz reportedly is in rapidly declining health, something with major implications for the kingdom.

Saudi Crown Prince Sultan bin Abdul-Aziz’s already frail health is rapidly deteriorating, sources in Saudi Arabia told Stratfor on Nov 20. Crown Prince Sultan’s reported decline comes a little more than three years after the death of his elder full brother, King Fahd bin Abdul-Aziz. As those reportedly next in line to the throne are all older than 70, the royal family could soon see a new elite take over, one dominated by the grandsons of the founder of the modern Saudi state, King Abdul-Aziz bin Abdel-Rehman al-Saud.

Crown Prince Sultan heads the Sudeiris, the most powerful clan within the house of al-Saud; he is also the most influential member of the royal family. His death is therefore likely to result in significant changes in the power structure in the al-Saud family. It will also be a test of the newly instituted succession council, which went into effect in October 2006 with the enactment of the so-called Allegiance Institution Law.

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